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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20396

Teteks VS FK Rabotnicki

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.56%
Draw
16.23%
Away
36.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6595
Log loss
1.0158

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
08f60b342ec519ca30ef0b1ca0e1e245cfdbec48680a5b39f8895092c3a0ad5b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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