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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20373

Mjallby AIF VS Gais

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.96%
Draw
26.34%
Away
43.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4761
Log loss
0.8278

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
636fb94b8684f2280b83fc2f758bd8195ae1358cc846c3b5640cbd33e491cd1a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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