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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20367

Kongsvinger VS hodd

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.96%
Draw
17.84%
Away
14.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.1546
Log loss
0.3863

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:00 UTC
SHA-256
372815221e7404b0fa19b64979267ce6d63a3240cc13099527c002ef2d07fd5f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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