Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #203620

SK Krumvir VS Sokol Lanžhot

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.13%
Draw
24.92%
Away
40.96%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.5272
Log loss
0.8927

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
a672bcbb8a1728aea8858d9749279dab0c858d20021c5b5da191d47759bbb6f3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →