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Frozen pre-match forecast · #203367

Kvik Halden VS Pors Grenland

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.02%
Draw
24.99%
Away
41.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6659
Log loss
1.0783

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
1b982b0e4e761977d84556c9a864b3c4051c007a5f9dd80f3e89185fcc92e5f1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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