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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2027

AFC Malmo VS Utsikten

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.93%
Draw
32.78%
Away
21.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4451
Log loss
0.7781

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
7a3d9aa4c846f6fc1edfb4603ffdc1395760f7d978c1af9b9188c0195f2a8135

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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