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Frozen pre-match forecast · #202060

Al Riffa VS Qatar SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.97%
Draw
24.83%
Away
45.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7564
Log loss
1.2050

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
2f5252a2cb354feaa57d5055afffbdc2c1d5284f517f775d979dcef847298272

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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