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Frozen pre-match forecast · #202030

Petrocub VS Edineţ

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
88.57%
Draw
7.81%
Away
3.61%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

8 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.0204
Log loss
0.1213

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
23139ac6cd5909e33f994420a0d8676049a636a66e655b9bf38ef4b35c8e58f7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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