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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20197

Ceuta 6 de Junio VS Lebrijana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:05 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.00%
Draw
25.00%
Away
75.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1250
Log loss
0.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 16:05 UTC
SHA-256
2319d97f38fcce5bc35c8c899a327e5c94926453ed0c10b42c80abdeae0c1271

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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