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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20195

Saint-Priest VS UF Touraine

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:05 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
19.38%
Draw
40.75%
Away
39.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5475
Log loss
0.8976

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 16:05 UTC
SHA-256
4c23d85524f71e0ed5fca642e01c40adc35425b14124c48771f290e721d4b2c5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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