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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201943

Andranik VS Bentonit Ijevan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.90%
Draw
17.13%
Away
13.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.2442
Log loss
1.9683

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
f1fae0e864bbea931d3bab0abcedf5bd7be440e4a6c74cd30a5abbf02f9988c6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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