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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201845

Belgrano Cordoba VS Barracas Central

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.30%
Draw
27.89%
Away
17.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8466
Log loss
1.2770

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
be4ff32c945e77364661af9542ece843cb6b02f9657a02f09123035416a1c3ad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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