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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201703

Binh Duong VS Than Quang Ninh

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.01%
Draw
24.02%
Away
19.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2912
Log loss
0.5797

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
SHA-256
02ff26fcd9ecd6bfbe42edf51195f50b5d51565980248b5b5e5a5e06bf71865c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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