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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201614

USM Annaba VS JS Jijel

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.25%
Draw
25.83%
Away
14.92%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9234
Log loss
1.3536

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
27 Oct 2026 · 02:02 UTC
SHA-256
27419442b7b93981df1c510f91a07fc56fa87c92fc6a6ea4b220b008db8d8181

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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