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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201546

Foggia VS Barletta

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
33.28%
Draw
28.57%
Away
38.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5748
Log loss
0.9635

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 20:01 UTC
SHA-256
980ddb93325207cb1852991c9f0bb304b8d1b023fa87e5e7d75c24d372552ccb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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