Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #201534

Hapoel Kfar Saba VS Maccabi Bnei Raina

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
Match kickoff
09 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.44%
Draw
24.58%
Away
45.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4389
Log loss
0.7770

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 18:02 UTC
SHA-256
e1faef67e6f12f2bc51132dddf71383b144ee57781a72d07596f3ff51e3e8f22

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →