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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201451

Worksop Town VS King's Lynn Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 08:01 UTC
Match kickoff
27 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.64%
Draw
25.25%
Away
37.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5903
Log loss
0.9771

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 08:01 UTC
SHA-256
ae6064a33949758c6be937d9ddf345a0b0d63c9ecf228a879ed4056f33fbd786

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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