Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #201367

Palmeiras U20 VS São Paulo U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.24%
Draw
23.07%
Away
20.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2875
Log loss
0.5755

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
2ffac3f28b5c46fd2207f266161c937e9638d9d72b30da4d082be85e79dc1fdb

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →