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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201273

New England Revolution VS Inter Miami

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.12%
Draw
22.69%
Away
30.20%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7607
Log loss
1.1974

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
2b5542fcfc75fbcd54d3fe685b5df5353cf703b72626703db6edf913ad3cefa0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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