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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201247

Cuiaba VS São Bernardo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 21:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.66%
Draw
27.45%
Away
21.89%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9421
Log loss
1.5191

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
1cc7b3087a6fb9f506439c16b290e467cafbb7db078d29d412a82c7d5517520c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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