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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2012

Hatta SC VS Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.91%
Draw
29.23%
Away
40.87%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7573
Log loss
1.2301

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
75326e8fc2ac77c1d3ef25df6172db3eac2d95b2bcc58fa3e6fcd9c3d20576e6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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