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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201182

Hound Dogs VS Lincoln Red Imps FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.88%
Draw
4.11%
Away
95.01%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.0043
Log loss
0.0512

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
6c2b55ff4534e6d6fcab72958dd051182f83cba16a91abdd3c24b1a68176552c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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