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Frozen pre-match forecast · #201065

Santos Laguna U21 VS Necaxa U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.68%
Draw
26.92%
Away
26.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8321
Log loss
1.3318

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
814e439702fcd4ab8fd9ccdf2628df06eddbbb0d259f6a4c4db604f98497dfd1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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