Frozen pre-match forecast · #201037
Naxxar Lions VS Gudja United
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 16:30 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 68.41%
- Draw
- 19.26%
- Away
- 12.32%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.1520
- Log loss
- 0.3796
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
- SHA-256
- 269ca4dc218e7fc93560c5b7d4a45ab5856a4ec0c9edcf2977da8f75d0e77ff8
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.