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Frozen pre-match forecast · #200851

Al Saqer VS Al Taee

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.78%
Draw
21.80%
Away
17.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0113
Log loss
1.5234

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
c6d8c368a4f0a49ec9835800baddf20364db50941e6a485b79dd96c2a1005352

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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