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Frozen pre-match forecast · #200779

Gau-Odernheim VS TuS RW Koblenz

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.84%
Draw
23.52%
Away
33.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6792
Log loss
1.0895

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
74197a0f64d6000ef50b333a927c5d1b2d0fa664df9bf270e3a6eb871312f86c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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