Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #200729

Unipomezia VS Monastir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
42.17%
Draw
23.55%
Away
34.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5074
Log loss
0.8635

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
a4989b30fb2312e6a6c817b14b8a5054d02774a9117b08cd4b7a52296d39002d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →