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Frozen pre-match forecast · #200704

Brindisi VS Ebolitana

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.70%
Draw
22.49%
Away
13.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2014
Log loss
0.4509

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
4c5226db6cb371bf1944cbe4926491b7e7ec199a3b0f2c9b3ee2ae263b473a58

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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