Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #20070

Golden Kicks VS Koforidua

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
26.47%
Draw
28.71%
Away
44.82%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7792
Log loss
1.2479

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
75047ebc731af8087011db3385bc1500cf403d3a58d1b595bc17ae5780a1f92b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →