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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2006

Čapljina VS Rudar Kakanj

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.67%
Draw
32.29%
Away
24.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8721
Log loss
1.4258

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:26 UTC
SHA-256
a11d67b9bd43ff6df8d857ce2fceddedb0c811806ff6999560ad4d2c8d4a8a3c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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