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Frozen pre-match forecast · #20052

VIFK W VS EBK W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
20.94%
Draw
32.78%
Away
46.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9467
Log loss
1.5635

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 16:02 UTC
SHA-256
d9b634ee21c6116e2a780ece21f8708bd097e1f1fe51bbac1f32b01c70e09bd2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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