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Frozen pre-match forecast · #200190

Lobos ULMX VS Chapulineros

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.52%
Draw
24.41%
Away
21.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
16e06648a25831acf6ca228d61dc165d5877f804329acaaa338fac4a02915b17

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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