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Frozen pre-match forecast · #200035

Petrojet VS Smouha SC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
37.91%
Draw
29.85%
Away
32.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7397
Log loss
1.2089

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
d9d999b5d582e074d41cf6f11a9571ade861d92ec5c61f1eea16690af664adec

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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