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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19987

FC OSS VS MVV

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.22%
Draw
36.60%
Away
39.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8617
Log loss
1.4180

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
SHA-256
72b9ce41c7438115609c480dd7838308d83b7f4f1c677bb001014c69b59c12fd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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