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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19984

Kirkintilloch Rob Roy VS Banks O' Dee

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:10 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.31%
Draw
29.89%
Away
35.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7374
Log loss
1.2076

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:10 UTC
SHA-256
e54861cf1c1d4168854d3713891f39fcbd3b2ac790b72334dbea7693e74645ae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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