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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19978

Rothes VS Brora Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:10 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.77%
Draw
27.59%
Away
53.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 990-minute result
Brier score
0.3263
Log loss
0.6229

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:10 UTC
SHA-256
a3c440ae0dd94795429c4b7f2ee975c1e2a1c79753cd136e7f47120d5efa04ac

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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