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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19964

Deveronvale VS Troon FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:09 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
29.54%
Draw
29.17%
Away
41.29%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.5170
Log loss
0.8845

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:09 UTC
SHA-256
e2fa69f355c562cd2cf76a740161f266f0de8a57822b08c8aa061242da945600

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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