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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19952

Bidezarra VS Beti Onak

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:09 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.25%
Draw
39.16%
Away
22.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5675
Log loss
0.9375

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:09 UTC
SHA-256
c0d58765e76c0c0c3a4d24ba318ffb6d975b7e2dde7ce4c7aa3e352bc4b57973

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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