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Frozen pre-match forecast · #199489

JK Tabasalu VS Levadia U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.21%
Draw
17.64%
Away
65.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1324
Log loss
1.7350

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
e99fc7fcbb003c64bff91e1f86c6162b3c72e1a79818b8411ac1823badf4d13e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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