Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #199378

Artis VS Zlin

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.59%
Draw
26.08%
Away
26.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8422
Log loss
1.3440

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
ac8c6b3d72e6de2ad41f8aecb7d6f0be1f9a041fa31d41d1d8d0d04cd51772ad

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →