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Frozen pre-match forecast · #199368

Kvant VS Zenit Penza

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.62%
Draw
24.59%
Away
43.79%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
839534983ee00419f8c0198214ac6b3b1b4dd6d7c60c49248ddc1447723a1372

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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