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Frozen pre-match forecast · #199001

Deltras VS Dejan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.46%
Draw
20.42%
Away
15.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
1.1777
Log loss
1.8892

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
ea6f434bc6324e4b4e3443fd1fc98e992861d88dbb4dd8a0a01e4a960f752cf6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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