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Frozen pre-match forecast · #198849

Valencia W VS Eibar W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 11:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.07%
Draw
28.84%
Away
36.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6350
Log loss
1.0478

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
057738afdf2af28b5b70be105e368809d821a285aabe0990cdb06f82af1b142e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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