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Frozen pre-match forecast · #198790

Slavoj Vyšehrad VS Rapid Psáry

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
31 Oct 2026 · 09:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.55%
Draw
17.96%
Away
65.49%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1787
Log loss
0.4233

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
46ab39a2be50f5827738e6ab40a123bb9579d61e1e02f6fa7c9584f0aa184977

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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