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Frozen pre-match forecast · #198639

Rathfriland VS Strabane Athletic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.20%
Draw
25.60%
Away
24.19%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
6ffe8bc2ed9a4636e94a121c09b1eb5e07acb4e1c7a1c4f0d98a0c325b9b5155

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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