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Frozen pre-match forecast · #198549

HIK VS Nykobing FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.84%
Draw
16.11%
Away
73.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.1103
Log loss
0.3140

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
9717bcb6c884c5ea0e7358d2ee2d08781668afc360cd38fb5a5bb7910e260f08

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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