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Frozen pre-match forecast · #198310

FC Mk de Kinshasa VS Dauphins Noirs

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.94%
Draw
31.76%
Away
33.30%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6986
Log loss
1.1470

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
621afc11a39682d8576c0d541b1b1fd527aad73a0c67329eee2f1062308f8fee

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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