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Frozen pre-match forecast · #198213

Céleste VS FC Mk de Kinshasa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.76%
Draw
30.87%
Away
25.38%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
f515181048238aff594b08014415645a210f81e7037efb8b7e55b558d0557ac3

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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