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Frozen pre-match forecast · #19797

Skövde AIK VS Utsikten

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:05 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.94%
Draw
33.36%
Away
25.70%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5261
Log loss
0.8931

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
19 Sep 2026 · 14:05 UTC
SHA-256
de76661746093219ce3d5d413744afd08cce856acc5e1766ad22358a27dd7e7f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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