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Frozen pre-match forecast · #197937

Dinamo Batumi VS Dila

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
28 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.54%
Draw
22.88%
Away
24.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3380
Log loss
0.6436

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
26 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
ec95b50ea4a1df5195de1cf6a307cae8457965750b96c2e567bc97fc2ebbf060

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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